Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.