SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
67.96% ( -2.63) | 19.68% ( 1) | 12.36% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( 2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( -0.15) | 47.46% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.14) | 69.67% ( 0.14) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( -0.8) | 12.95% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.58% ( -1.65) | 39.42% ( 1.64) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.03% ( 2.81) | 47.97% ( -2.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.79% ( 1.98) | 83.21% ( -1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 2-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.73) 1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.32)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.79)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.55)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.29)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 67.94% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.36)Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.68% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.69% Total : 12.36% |
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