SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Banbury United | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Fylde | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Scarborough Athletic | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Buxton | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | AFC Telford United | 6 | -5 | 6 |
| 21 | Kettering Town | 6 | -2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | AFC Telford United |
55.92% ( -0.27) | 24.88% ( -0.15) | 19.2% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 45.03% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% ( 1.01) | 56% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( 0.82) | 77.09% ( -0.81) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( 0.3) | 19.99% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.83% ( 0.47) | 52.17% ( -0.46) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.28% ( 1.08) | 43.73% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.11% ( 0.88) | 79.9% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.49% Total : 55.91% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.2% |
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