SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Alfreton Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Fylde | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Southport | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Leamington FC | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Southport had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Southport |
65.41% ( 0.1) | 20.11% ( -0.16) | 14.47% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.74% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.82) | 44.62% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( 0.79) | 66.98% ( -0.79) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( 0.28) | 12.83% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.83% ( 0.57) | 39.17% ( -0.57) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.06% ( 0.59) | 42.94% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.76% ( 0.5) | 79.24% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Southport |
| 2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.28)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 65.41% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.5% Total : 14.47% |
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