Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fylde in this match.
