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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kellamergh Park

Fylde
2 - 1
Southport

Dobbie (26'), Piggott (54')
Tollitt (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Archer (22')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Southport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fylde in this match.

Result
FyldeDrawSouthport
50.71%23.44%25.85%
Both teams to score 57.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69%43.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3%65.7%
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84%17.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59%47.41%
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69%30.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51%66.48%
Score Analysis
    Fylde 50.71%
    Southport 25.85%
    Draw 23.44%
FyldeDrawSouthport
2-1 @ 9.64%
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 5.67%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 25.85%

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