Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
