Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.