Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
