Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
