Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
