Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.