Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.