Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 56.42%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
