Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.