Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 57.78%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 21.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.