Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.