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National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 1
Farsley Celtic

Whitehouse (38'), Alli (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Turner (21')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Farsley Celtic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawFarsley Celtic
69.49%17.53%12.99%
Both teams to score 54.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64%36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.9%58.1%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.66%9.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.53%31.47%
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.38%39.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.7%76.3%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 69.49%
    Farsley Celtic 12.99%
    Draw 17.53%
ChorleyDrawFarsley Celtic
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 7.61%
4-0 @ 4.88%
4-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.52%
5-0 @ 2.31%
5-1 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 2.09%
5-2 @ 0.99%
6-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 69.49%
1-1 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 4.46%
0-0 @ 3.7%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.53%
1-2 @ 3.76%
0-1 @ 3.42%
0-2 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.38%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 12.99%

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