Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 56.31%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 22.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
