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National League North | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Nethermoor Park
AT

Guiseley
3 - 2
Alfreton

Tear (36', 66'), Mbeka (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Southwell (48'), Hobson (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Guiseley and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
GuiseleyDrawAlfreton Town
36.19%26.5%37.31%
Both teams to score 52.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7%52.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26%74%
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16%27.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57%63.43%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.58%
Score Analysis
    Guiseley 36.19%
    Alfreton Town 37.31%
    Draw 26.49%
GuiseleyDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.42%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.31%

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