Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for York City in this match.
