Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
