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National League North | Gameweek 9
Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Merseyrail Community Stadium
AT

Southport
2 - 0
Alfreton

Woods (23', 55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawAlfreton Town
39.33%24.98%35.69%
Both teams to score 57.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34%45.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02%67.98%
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95%23.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13%56.87%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01%24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36%59.64%
Score Analysis
    Southport 39.33%
    Alfreton Town 35.69%
    Draw 24.98%
SouthportDrawAlfreton Town
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-1 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.69%

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