Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
