Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.