Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Guiseley win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.