Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.