Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Guiseley win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for York City in this match.