Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.