Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 11.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.