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National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Darlington Arena

Darlington
5 - 1
Guiseley

Lambert (9'), Cassidy (44'), Hatfield (48' pen.), Southern-Cooper (70'), Mondal (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hey (65')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Guiseley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawGuiseley
56.64%23.3%20.06%
Both teams to score 50.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1%48.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29%70.99%
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94%17.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78%47.22%
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.33%38.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.59%75.41%
Score Analysis
    Darlington 56.63%
    Guiseley 20.06%
    Draw 23.3%
DarlingtonDrawGuiseley
1-0 @ 11.66%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 0.95%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 56.63%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.06%

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