Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
