Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
