Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.