Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.