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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Marine AFC |
50.2% ( 0.02) | 24.38% ( -0.01) | 25.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( 0.04) | 47.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 0.04) | 69.97% ( -0.04) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( 0.02) | 19.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( 0.04) | 50.65% ( -0.04) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( 0.01) | 33.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( 0.01) | 69.63% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Marine AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.42% |
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