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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Marine AFC |
39.27% ( -0.17) | 26.4% ( 0.08) | 34.33% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( -0.3) | 52.06% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% ( -0.26) | 73.78% ( 0.26) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.23) | 25.96% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( -0.31) | 60.97% ( 0.31) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.09) | 28.85% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( -0.11) | 64.71% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Marine AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.33% |
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