Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Hereford United
45.22% ( 0.32)	26.26% ( 0.35)	28.52% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 50.8% (

-1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

-1.73)

53.4% (

1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

-1.48)

74.94% (

1.49)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

-0.59)

23.54% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

-0.87)

57.59% (

0.87)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

-1.41)

33.56% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

-1.57)

70.21% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 45.22%

Hereford United 28.52%

Draw 26.25%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.22%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.52%