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National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
3 - 0
Farsley Celtic

Rose (16'), Ceesay (36'), Williams (73')
Hudson (82'), Williams (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fielding (31'), Watson (64'), Allan (84')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warrington Town 2-0 Hereford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 3-0 P'boro Sports
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawFarsley Celtic
61.2% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 22.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 16.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)51.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54% (0.013999999999999 0.01)73.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.013000000000005 0.01)16.45% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.019999999999996 0.02)46.14% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.86% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)80.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 61.18%
    Farsley Celtic 16.2%
    Draw 22.59%
Hereford UnitedDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 13.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 61.18%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 16.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-0 Hereford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 3-2 Hereford
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 3-0 P'boro Sports
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-3 Spennymoor
Friday, October 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-2 Kettering
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Wythenshawe Town 0-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Leamington
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North


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