SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 9.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
73.83% ( -0.08) | 16.61% ( 0.04) | 9.57% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.75% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.04) | 41.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( -0.05) | 63.88% ( 0.05) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.28% ( -0.03) | 9.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.62% ( -0.07) | 32.38% ( 0.08) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.68% ( 0.06) | 49.32% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.82% ( 0.04) | 84.18% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 2-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 73.81% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.61% | 0-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.57% |
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