SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Buxton |
32.3% ( 0.01) | 25.97% ( -0) | 41.73% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( 0.01) | 50.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( 0.01) | 72.6% ( -0.01) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.01) | 29.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( 0.01) | 65.49% ( -0.01) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0) | 24.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0) | 58.34% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.73% |
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