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National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
3 - 2
Blyth Spartans

Gooda (28'), Glynn (78'), Wiles (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Deverdics (12'), Walker (50')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Blyth Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawBlyth Spartans
46.67% (0.767 0.77) 23.38% (-0.208 -0.21) 29.95% (-0.559 -0.56)
Both teams to score 61.28% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.91% (0.674 0.67)40.08% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.55% (0.694 0.69)62.45% (-0.694 -0.69)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (0.566 0.57)17.47% (-0.566 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (0.977 0.98)47.95% (-0.977 -0.98)
Blyth Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)25.75% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)60.69% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 46.67%
    Blyth Spartans 29.95%
    Draw 23.37%
Scarborough AthleticDrawBlyth Spartans
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-5 Darlington
Monday, January 2 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-3 Scarborough Ath
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-1 Peterborough Sports
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-3 Chester
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Blyth Spartans
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-3 Spennymoor
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-2 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League North


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