SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Southport |
35.03% ( -0.03) | 25.59% ( -0) | 39.38% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( 0.02) | 48.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( 0.02) | 70.63% ( -0.02) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.01) | 26.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.03% ( -0.01) | 61.97% ( 0.01) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( 0.02) | 24.29% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.34% ( 0.04) | 58.66% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.38% |
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