SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
37.28% ( 0.09) | 26.9% ( 0.01) | 35.82% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.03) | 53.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% ( -0.02) | 75.42% ( 0.02) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( 0.04) | 27.99% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( 0.05) | 63.63% ( -0.05) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.07) | 28.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -0.09) | 64.73% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.81% |
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