Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.