SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Hereford United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Kettering Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Scarborough Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Southport | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
40.87% ( 0.36) | 26.98% ( 0.13) | 32.15% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.16% ( -0.63) | 54.83% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.86% ( -0.52) | 76.13% ( 0.52) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.1) | 26.38% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% ( -0.13) | 61.53% ( 0.13) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0.65) | 31.67% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( -0.76) | 68.08% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.87% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.15% |
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