Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.09) 
