SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Chester FC |
26.86% ( 0.01) | 25.79% ( 0.02) | 47.35% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( -0.09) | 52.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.07) | 74.18% ( 0.08) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.04) | 34.4% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.89% ( -0.04) | 71.11% ( 0.05) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -0.05) | 22.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( -0.08) | 55.58% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.86% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.35% |
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