SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Chester FC |
33.14% ( -0.23) | 27.14% ( 0.1) | 39.72% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.76% ( -0.42) | 55.24% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.53% ( -0.35) | 76.47% ( 0.35) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.36) | 31.2% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( -0.42) | 67.54% ( 0.43) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.12) | 27.2% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( -0.16) | 62.61% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.14% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.71% |
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