SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chester FC |
38.46% ( 0.12) | 27.46% ( -0.01) | 34.08% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( 0.02) | 56.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( 0.02) | 77.35% ( -0.01) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.08) | 28.43% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% ( 0.1) | 64.18% ( -0.1) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.06) | 31.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( -0.07) | 67.46% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 34.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
