SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Southport had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Scunthorpe United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
19.05% ( 0.05) | 22.06% ( -0.01) | 58.89% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( 0.1) | 45.02% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( 0.1) | 67.37% ( -0.1) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( 0.12) | 37.5% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% ( 0.11) | 74.28% ( -0.12) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( 0.02) | 14.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.65% ( 0.04) | 43.35% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.05% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.12% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.89% |
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