SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Brackley Town |
35.89% ( 0.1) | 25.3% ( -0.02) | 38.82% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( 0.1) | 47.08% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( 0.09) | 69.32% ( -0.09) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( 0.11) | 25.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( 0.14) | 60.4% ( -0.14) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( 0) | 23.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( 0) | 58.17% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.82% |
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