SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
56.65% ( -2.05) | 22.09% ( 0.29) | 21.25% ( 1.76) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( 1.11) | 42.12% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( 1.11) | 64.52% ( -1.11) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( -0.28) | 14.69% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.13% ( -0.54) | 42.86% ( 0.54) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( 2.39) | 33.6% ( -2.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( 2.52) | 70.24% ( -2.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.91% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.32)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.25% |
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