SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Oxford City |
54.13% ( -1.83) | 24.87% ( 0.41) | 20.99% ( 1.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( 0.09) | 53.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( 0.08) | 75.4% ( -0.08) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( -0.68) | 19.9% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% ( -1.11) | 52.02% ( 1.11) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% ( 1.59) | 40.58% ( -1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% ( 1.41) | 77.18% ( -1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.5)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 54.12% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.26% Total : 21% |
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