SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Oxford City |
48.09% ( 0.19) | 25.26% ( 0.08) | 26.64% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.51) | 50.55% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( -0.46) | 72.47% ( 0.46) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( -0.13) | 21.04% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.17% ( -0.2) | 53.83% ( 0.2) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -0.49) | 33.52% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( -0.54) | 70.16% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.64% |
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